Análisis Alcalá de Guadaira vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 2002 |
MON
3 - 1
AGU
52%
25%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2002 |
AGU
0 - 0
VVA
35%
27%
38%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2002 |
JER
3 - 0
AGU
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 ene. 2002 |
AGU
5 - 1
RLI
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2002 |
AGU
3 - 0
UDT
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 0
REC
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 2002 |
LUC
3 - 0
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 ene. 2002 |
ANT
1 - 1
LUC
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2002 |
POZ
2 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |