Análisis Alcalá de Guadaira vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 2003 |
VVA
4 - 0
AGU
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
AGU
2 - 0
SCF
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
ANT
1 - 0
AGU
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
AGU
2 - 0
DHE
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
SFE
1 - 0
AGU
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 2003 |
LUC
2 - 0
SOL
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
COR
7 - 2
LUC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
LUC
3 - 1
CRD
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 0
LUC
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
LUC
4 - 3
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |