Análisis Alcoyano vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.58
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1946 |
RMA
2 - 0
ALC
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1946 |
ALC
2 - 2
RMA
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 1946 |
ALC
2 - 0
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 1946 |
ATH
3 - 3
ALC
85%
10%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1946 |
ALC
5 - 1
SLA
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 1946 |
GIM
4 - 2
HER
53%
20%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1946 |
HER
1 - 1
GIM
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1946 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
34%
23%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 2
HER
75%
14%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1946 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |