Análisis Alcoyano vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2014 |
ATB
1 - 2
ALC
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
BAD
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
HOS
3 - 0
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
LLE
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
UES
66%
22%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
VAL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
ATB
0 - 3
HER
19%
27%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
BAD
75%
18%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
HOS
1 - 2
HER
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |