Análisis Alcoyano vs Pego
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.29
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.2%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+70%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 1959 |
OLI
3 - 1
ALC
85%
10%
6%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1959 |
UDC
3 - 4
ALC
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1959 |
ALC
2 - 1
SDS
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 1959 |
POR
3 - 2
ALC
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 oct. 1959 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAT
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 1959 |
PEG
1 - 1
UDC
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1959 |
SDS
3 - 0
PEG
86%
10%
5%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1959 |
PEG
1 - 0
POR
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
PEG
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1959 |
PEG
0 - 1
GAN
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |