Análisis Alcoyano vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-28%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 1
ORI
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1985 |
CDB
2 - 1
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 may. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 2
ALB
59%
25%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
50%
29%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 1
HOS
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 2
ALG
57%
26%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1985 |
ANT
0 - 4
RJA
37%
32%
31%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1985 |
RJA
0 - 1
AMA
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1985 |
ORI
3 - 0
RJA
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 1985 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDB
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |