Serie D - Brasil Octavos

Global 4-3

Análisis Alecrim vs Sergipe

Alecrim Sergipe
44 ELO 44
-5.3% Tilt -7.2%
23644º Ranking ELO general 4917º
735º Ranking ELO país 163º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
39.9%
Alecrim
25.8%
Empate
34.3%
Sergipe

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Alecrim
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Sergipe
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Alecrim
-2%
-46%
Sergipe

Progresión del ELO

Alecrim
Sergipe
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Alecrim
Alecrim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 ago. 2009
SER
Sergipe
3 - 1
Alecrim
ALE
59%
22%
19%
44 46 2 0
23 ago. 2009
CEN
Central SC
1 - 0
Alecrim
ALE
49%
26%
25%
45 47 2 -1
16 ago. 2009
ALE
Alecrim
2 - 0
Central SC
CEN
40%
26%
34%
43 48 5 +2
09 ago. 2009
ALE
Alecrim
1 - 2
Ferroviário
FER
30%
26%
44%
45 53 8 -2
02 ago. 2009
FLA
Flamengo PI
2 - 1
Alecrim
ALE
49%
25%
26%
46 45 1 -1

Partidos

Sergipe
Sergipe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 ago. 2009
SER
Sergipe
3 - 1
Alecrim
ALE
59%
22%
19%
46 44 2 0
23 ago. 2009
FER
Ferroviário
3 - 3
Sergipe
SER
60%
22%
18%
47 51 4 -1
16 ago. 2009
SER
Sergipe
2 - 0
Ferroviário
FER
33%
26%
41%
44 52 8 +3
09 ago. 2009
SER
Sergipe
1 - 2
Central SC
CEN
48%
25%
28%
46 48 2 -2
01 ago. 2009
CSA
CSA
2 - 0
Sergipe
SER
39%
26%
35%
47 40 7 -1