Análisis Alegría vs Ariznabarra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+45%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2011 |
SLV
4 - 1
ALE
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 1
CLU
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2010 |
ADC
1 - 0
ALE
66%
19%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
ALE
2 - 3
AUR
37%
25%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 dic. 2010 |
ELP
4 - 2
ALE
72%
17%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2011 |
ARI
1 - 1
ALA
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2010 |
CDL
3 - 0
ARI
57%
22%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 2010 |
ARI
0 - 2
CDV
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
CON
0 - 3
ARI
22%
23%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 2010 |
ARI
2 - 0
TAL
58%
23%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |