Análisis Alegría vs CD Basconia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+59%
+57%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1998 |
ARE
1 - 0
ALE
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1998 |
ALE
1 - 1
SDS
25%
27%
48%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1998 |
SOD
2 - 0
ALE
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1998 |
ALE
1 - 1
ALA
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1998 |
SNT
3 - 1
ALE
73%
18%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 0
ZAM
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 2
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 3
RSO
26%
27%
47%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 1998 |
HER
1 - 1
BAS
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1998 |
BAS
0 - 0
RUN
43%
27%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |