Análisis Alella vs Bufala
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
ALE
80%
13%
8%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 4
LLA
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
ALE
62%
20%
18%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
AJU
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2015 |
CFL
5 - 3
ALE
47%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Bufala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2015 |
MAT
5 - 0
BUF
71%
16%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
BUF
6 - 3
NOU
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 abr. 2015 |
TPE
6 - 2
BUF
42%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
BUF
3 - 2
TIA
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
BUF
2 - 3
EMP
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |