Análisis Alemania Sub21 vs URSS Sub21
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.5
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.7%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 4
GER
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 20 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1982 |
GER
2 - 0
ESP
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 1981 |
GER
4 - 1
BGR
63%
18%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 1981 |
AUT
0 - 1
GER
46%
22%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
URSS Sub21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 4
GER
27%
26%
47%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1982 |
SUN
4 - 2
FRA
27%
26%
47%
|
19 | 65 | 46 | +1 |
| 10 mar. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUN
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 65 | 47 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 1981 |
CSK
0 - 0
SUN
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 62 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1981 |
SUN
0 - 0
CSK
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | +1 |