Análisis Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Deportivo Municipal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-27%
-53%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2006 |
RAC
6 - 0
ALF
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2006 |
ALF
0 - 0
AYA
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
LOS
3 - 2
ALF
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 2006 |
ALF
3 - 0
UTC
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
DVM
1 - 0
ALF
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2006 |
MUN
3 - 1
DCU
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
LOS
1 - 2
MUN
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2006 |
MUN
1 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2006 |
MUN
2 - 0
LOS
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 1
MUN
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |