Análisis Alianza Atl. Sullana vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 2004 |
SBO
1 - 1
ALI
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2004 |
JUN
4 - 1
ALI
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 1
CDE
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
WAN
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALI
24%
26%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 2
BOL
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
VAL
0 - 0
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAU
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2004 |
SBO
0 - 1
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIE
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |