Análisis Alianza FC vs Sporting San Miguelito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
37.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.25
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jul. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
CHE
5 - 0
AFC
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 2
TAU
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 3
AFC
68%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jul. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 0
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
SMI
3 - 1
SFF
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
SMI
24%
28%
47%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2012 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 3
AFC
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |