Análisis Alianza Lima vs Cienciano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2005 |
ALI
5 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 1
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 1
CFC
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2005 |
CIE
1 - 0
SAM
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2005 |
VAL
0 - 1
CIE
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
CIE
2 - 1
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
CAU
1 - 1
CIE
28%
26%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2005 |
CIE
1 - 5
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -2 |