Análisis Alianza Lima vs Cienciano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 1
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
UTC
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 0
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 3
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 3
MEL
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2015 |
AYA
0 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2015 |
CIE
2 - 0
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 jul. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 2
CIE
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 may. 2015 |
CIE
3 - 2
COM
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |