Análisis Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 2
ALI
36%
27%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
MUN
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
ALI
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALI
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
Partidos
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2017 |
COM
2 - 3
GAR
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 2
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
MEL
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 oct. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
HUA
41%
26%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |