Análisis Alianza Lima vs Deportes Tolima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.47
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1983 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
74%
15%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1981 |
ALI
1 - 2
BOC
19%
25%
56%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1979 |
PAL
4 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
9%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1979 |
GUA
2 - 0
ALI
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 1979 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 1983 |
UNI
2 - 2
TOL
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1983 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1982 |
OLI
2 - 0
TOL
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1982 |
COB
3 - 0
TOL
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 1982 |
TOL
1 - 1
OLI
22%
33%
46%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |