Análisis Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Municipal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 0
BOL
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2007 |
CIE
0 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 1
ALI
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2007 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAM
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 3
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 0
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2007 |
SPO
3 - 0
MUN
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |