Análisis Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
37.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.22
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 2
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALI
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 1
SCI
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2019 |
PIR
2 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 1
MEL
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 2
HUA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2019 |
BIN
3 - 1
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 4
PAL
20%
27%
53%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 0
AUN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |