Análisis Alianza Lima vs Ayacucho FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61%
Probabilidad gana
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+33%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 1
UTC
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2018 |
SRP
1 - 1
ALI
36%
31%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 1
UTC
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2018 |
AYA
1 - 1
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
AYA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2018 |
AYA
5 - 3
SPC
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 feb. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 0
SRP
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |