Análisis Alianza Lima vs José Gálvez
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 3
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
SBO
59%
25%
17%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2006 |
ALI
4 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 2
SPC
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 0
GAL
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 2
CIE
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAL
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2006 |
GAL
2 - 2
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |