Análisis Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2002 |
ALI
3 - 2
UNI
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2002 |
WAN
3 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 oct. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 1
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2002 |
LOS
0 - 3
ALI
30%
28%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 2
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 0
SBO
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2002 |
CDE
4 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 1
ALI
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 oct. 2002 |
AUR
3 - 1
LOS
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 0
AUR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |