Análisis Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 3
HUA
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
CAN
66%
22%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 2
GAR
28%
26%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2017 |
SAM
4 - 1
AUR
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 2
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 2017 |
HUA
3 - 0
AUR
57%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 jul. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
MUN
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |