Análisis Alianza Lima vs Millonarios
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.22
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 1962 |
MIL
3 - 1
EME
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1962 |
MIL
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1962 |
UCO
4 - 1
MIL
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1962 |
EME
4 - 2
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 jun. 1960 |
OLI
5 - 1
MIL
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |