Análisis Alianza Lima vs Progreso
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.44
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 1987 |
AGU
0 - 2
ALI
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1983 |
AME
2 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 1983 |
TOL
0 - 0
ALI
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1983 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 1983 |
ALI
1 - 2
AME
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1987 |
AGU
3 - 1
PRO
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
PRO
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |