Copa Libertadores . Jor. 5

Análisis Alianza Lima vs São Caetano

Alianza Lima São Caetano
63 ELO 82
-5.1% Tilt -9.1%
454º Ranking ELO general 6033º
Ranking ELO país 253º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
21.6%
Alianza Lima
23.1%
Empate
55.3%
São Caetano

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
21.6%
Probabilidad gana
Alianza Lima
1.04
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.3%
Probabilidad gana
São Caetano
1.8
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Alianza Lima
São Caetano
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 mar. 2002
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
67%
20%
13%
64 77 13 0
26 feb. 2002
COB
Cobreloa
5 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
65%
21%
15%
65 75 10 -1
13 feb. 2002
SAO
São Caetano
4 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
81%
13%
6%
66 80 14 -1
05 feb. 2002
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 0
Cerro Porteño
CCP
31%
26%
44%
65 77 12 +1
12 abr. 2000
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 2
Alianza Lima
ALI
53%
24%
23%
65 68 3 0

Partidos

São Caetano
São Caetano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 mar. 2002
SAO
São Caetano
3 - 0
Cobreloa
COB
72%
17%
11%
81 75 6 0
05 mar. 2002
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 3
São Caetano
SAO
43%
25%
32%
81 77 4 0
13 feb. 2002
SAO
São Caetano
4 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
81%
13%
6%
80 66 14 +1
06 feb. 2002
COB
Cobreloa
2 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
41%
25%
34%
81 75 6 -1
23 dic. 2001
SAO
São Caetano
0 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
42%
24%
34%
81 85 4 0
X