Análisis Alianza Lima vs São Paulo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2007 |
SBO
2 - 1
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALI
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 2
ALI
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 0
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
19%
25%
57%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
GRÊ
0 - 5
SAO
3%
13%
84%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 1
PAL
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |