Perú - Liga 1 Fase 2 Campeonato Descentralizado 2014 Cuartos

Análisis Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal

Alianza Lima Sporting Cristal
73 ELO 75
-11.4% Tilt -7.6%
726º Ranking ELO general 758º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
41.2%
Alianza Lima
27.2%
Empate
31.5%
Sporting Cristal

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.6%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO7878.178.178.278.378.378.478.578.578.678.778.778.878.978.979-3.2%-2.4%-1.7%-0.9%-0.2%0.6%1.4%2.1%2.9%3.6%4.4%5.1%5.9%6.6%7.4%8.2%8.9%9.7%10.4%11.2%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Alianza Lima
+11%
-3%
Sporting Cristal

Progresión del ELO

71º72º73º74º75º76º77º78ºFeb .14May .14Aug .14Nov .14
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 nov. 2014
MEL
FBC Melgar
2 - 3
Alianza Lima
ALI
44%
28%
29%
75 72 3 0
26 nov. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
1 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
38%
28%
34%
75 68 7 0
23 nov. 2014
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
63%
23%
14%
75 63 12 0
21 nov. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
3 - 2
Alianza Lima
ALI
58%
23%
20%
75 75 0 0
13 nov. 2014
ALI
Alianza Lima
3 - 1
Los Caimanes
LOS
59%
25%
17%
75 66 9 0

Partidos

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 nov. 2014
LOS
Los Caimanes
1 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
36%
28%
36%
75 66 9 0
23 nov. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 3
Unión Comercio
COM
71%
18%
11%
76 68 8 -1
21 nov. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
3 - 2
Alianza Lima
ALI
58%
23%
20%
75 75 0 +1
15 nov. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Cienciano
CIE
73%
17%
10%
75 65 10 0
12 nov. 2014
HUA
Sport Huancayo
1 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
31%
26%
43%
75 64 11 0