Análisis Alianza Lima vs Total Chalaco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 0
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 3
ACS
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 0
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2007 |
SAO
4 - 0
ALI
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2007 |
TOT
0 - 2
ALI
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
MUN
3 - 0
TOT
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
MEL
3 - 1
TOT
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
TOT
3 - 0
BOL
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 2007 |
SPO
4 - 1
TOT
35%
27%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |