Análisis Alianza Lima vs Union Huaral
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2004 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 2
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 nov. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2004 |
UNI
4 - 2
CAU
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
CIE
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2004 |
VAL
0 - 1
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 1
UNI
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |