Análisis Alianza Lima vs Unión San Felipe
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.46
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 1972 |
ALI
2 - 2
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1972 |
USF
0 - 0
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1972 |
UCH
2 - 3
ALI
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 feb. 1972 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 1966 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1972 |
UCH
2 - 1
USF
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1972 |
USF
1 - 3
UNI
40%
22%
38%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1972 |
USF
0 - 0
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1972 |
USF
3 - 2
UCH
40%
22%
38%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |