Análisis Alianza Lima vs Univ. San Martín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jul. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 2
ALI
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUR
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 jul. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 jul. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 3
HUA
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 0
HUA
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAM
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 jul. 2017 |
SAM
4 - 1
AUR
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 jul. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 2
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |