Análisis Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jul. 1988 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 1988 |
ALI
2 - 1
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 jul. 1988 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 may. 1987 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALI
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 1988 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 1988 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 1988 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1986 |
UNI
1 - 2
JWI
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 may. 1986 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |