Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-0
Análisis Alianza Lima vs Universitario de Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2002 |
BOL
0 - 0
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2002 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 2
ALI
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 ago. 2002 |
ALI
0 - 0
WAN
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2002 |
UNI
4 - 1
WAN
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2002 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
60%
22%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 0
LOS
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 1
UNI
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |