Análisis Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2003 |
ALI
2 - 3
COB
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2003 |
WAN
0 - 2
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2003 |
GLP
5 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 feb. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2002 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 3
CIE
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 0
OPE
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAC
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 2
MEL
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2002 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |