Análisis Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ago. 2003 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALI
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2003 |
WAN
1 - 0
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 jun. 2003 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 jun. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALI
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 2003 |
SPC
5 - 2
ALI
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIE
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 jun. 2003 |
UNI
3 - 1
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 jun. 2003 |
UNI
3 - 3
CAU
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2003 |
UNI
3 - 0
CDE
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 jun. 2003 |
SBO
4 - 3
UNI
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |