Análisis Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.3%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2007 |
CIE
0 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
43%
28%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 0
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAO
18%
25%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2007 |
UNI
3 - 1
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 3
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 2
MUN
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOT
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
CIE
0 - 1
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |