Análisis Alianza Lima vs Universitario de Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2018 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
AYA
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 mar. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 1
UTC
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
SRP
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
AYA
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |