Análisis Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
AYA
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAM
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
ALI
33%
28%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2018 |
COM
2 - 3
UTC
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 3
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2018 |
GAR
1 - 0
UTC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 ago. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 0
MUN
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |