Copa Colombia Octavos
Global 2-3
Análisis Alianza FC vs At. Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
44.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 ago. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
ENV
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 2
ALI
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 2
NAC
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 ago. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
PAT
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
EQU
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |