Análisis Alianza FC vs Santa Fe
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
26.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 2014 |
ENV
2 - 3
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 nov. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
TOL
25%
27%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2015 |
CUC
2 - 2
SFE
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2015 |
EQU
2 - 2
SFE
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2015 |
SFE
2 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
SFE
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |