Análisis Alianza Universidad vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2013 |
WAL
3 - 2
AUN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2013 |
AUN
4 - 4
LOS
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 0
MUN
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUN
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 jun. 2013 |
AUN
6 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 0
SPO
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 0
ALF
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 jul. 2013 |
ACR
0 - 3
ALF
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 jul. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
SBO
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 jun. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 0
ALF
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |