Análisis Alianza Universidad vs Pacífico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2014 |
LOS
3 - 0
AUN
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2014 |
AUN
1 - 0
COM
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
AUN
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 ago. 2014 |
AUN
4 - 0
GAL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 ago. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
AUN
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 0
LOS
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 2
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 1
PAC
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 ago. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
SBO
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |