Análisis Alianza Universidad vs Willy Serrato
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jun. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
AUN
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2015 |
AUN
0 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2015 |
LOS
0 - 0
AUN
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2015 |
AUN
0 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2015 |
LOS
2 - 0
AUN
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jun. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 4
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
WIL
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 jun. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
UNI
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 1
WIL
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |