Análisis Alianza vs CD Dragon
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
-40%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 3
ALI
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 3
ALI
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 oct. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2016 |
FAS
2 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
CDD
7%
15%
79%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2016 |
CDD
1 - 2
UES
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2016 |
SFC
3 - 0
CDD
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 oct. 2016 |
CDD
2 - 1
MET
25%
29%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 2016 |
MUN
3 - 2
CDD
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |