Análisis Alianza vs L.A. Firpo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2016 |
UES
1 - 1
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2016 |
RBN
1 - 0
ALI
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
SFC
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 sep. 2016 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
MUN
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2016 |
FIR
3 - 0
UES
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2016 |
SFC
2 - 1
FIR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
FIR
0 - 3
MET
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
FIR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
FIR
0 - 0
CDD
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |