Análisis Alianza vs Municipal Limeño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.1%
Probabilidad gana
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+31%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2004 |
AGU
1 - 1
ALI
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 1
ONC
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2004 |
FAS
3 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 1
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 1
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 2
MET
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 0
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2004 |
MUN
0 - 2
BAL
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 1
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
MUN
2 - 2
ONC
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |