Análisis Alicante vs Lorca Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2004 |
MLL
2 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
SAB
1 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 ene. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 1
LLE
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
VIJ
1 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2004 |
GIR
2 - 0
LOR
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 0
YEC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
CEM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |