Análisis All Boys vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
All Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2008 |
MER
0 - 0
ALB
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARM
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2008 |
STM
0 - 2
ALB
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
ALB
3 - 0
BRO
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 0
ALB
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 1
ITA
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
SAR
2 - 3
DEF
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
TEM
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |